Wisconsin Senate: Badger State Battle, Part 2

Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2015 · 2:30 PM EDT

We’ve seen this movie before, where Republican Ron Johnson and Democrat Russ Feingold battle for a Senate seat in Wisconsin. But Democrats are hoping next year’s sequel has an alternate ending.

The 2010 cycle was historic for Republicans as they roared back into the House majority and gained six Senate seats as a reaction to President Barack Obama’s first two years in office. But few of the GOP victories were quite as remarkable as what happened in the Badger State.

Johnson, a first-time candidate, entered the race late and knocked off three-term Sen. Russ Feingold by 5 points in a race that wasn’t in doubt by Election Day. Feingold’s campaign failed to re-create his maverick magic from previous races and Johnson’s team cast enough doubt about the Democrat’s independent image to pull off the victory. 

But, as part of a common theme, Democrats discount the Republican’s victory because it took place in a midterm, when turnout is lower, and expect Feingold to win in a presidential year, when more Democratic constituencies are likely to turn out. But there is no guarantee that the Democratic presidential nominee will be able to re-create Obama’s success from the last two races. 

Meanwhile, Johnson appears to be a consummate political outsider. Not being a politician helped him…

Colorado 6: Can Carroll Cause Coffman to Stumble?

Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2015 · 2:29 PM EDT

Targeting Rep. Mike Coffman has become a biennial tradition for Democrats. But even though Colorado’s 6th District is one of the country’s premiere swing seats, Democrats have had trouble finding the right combination of candidate and election cycle to defeat the GOP congressman. 

Earlier this…

Report Shorts (Minnesota 2, North Dakota Governor Senate, Washington 8 Governor

September 4, 2015 · 2:28 PM EDT

Minnesota’s 2nd District. GOP Rep. John Kline announced his retirement on Thursday, leaving open a competitive district that President Barack Obama won narrowly, 49.1 percent to 49 percent, in 2012. Democrats had two credible challengers in the race already, but it will take some time as potential…

2016 House Ratings (September 3, 2015)

September 3, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

Reichert Seriously Considering Washington Governor’s Race

Nathan L. Gonzales September 3, 2015 · 1:02 PM EDT

Republican Rep. Dave Reichert is seriously considering a gubernatorial bid in Washington state, according to multiple GOP sources.

The congressman has been the consistent source of rumors for a statewide bid over the past decade. But those rumors were often fueled by House Democrats who wanted him…