Time to Stop Reporting on Committee Fundraising Numbers

Nathan L. Gonzales November 30, 2015 · 9:23 AM EST

Political reporters have a fever and the only prescription appears to be fundraising numbers.

It’s a time-honored tradition: Every month, the House and Senate campaign committees release fundraising totals in a regular effort to claim momentum and financial supremacy, and political reporters can’t resist the temptation to report them.

The dollar signs and decimal points fill morning newsletters and blog posts as if the figures are of critical importance. But the reality is that committee fundraising can be a poor predictor of which party will gain the majority in the upcoming elections.

A couple weeks ago, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee announced it raised $3.8 million in October, $1.5 million more than the National Republican Senatorial Committee, according to a Friday afternoon email from the DSCC with a link to an article with the totals.

But Senate Democrats raising more money than Republicans should not be a surprise. According to the Federal Election Commission, the DSCC has outraised the NRSC for the past 10 years.

The DSCC outraised the NRSC by $40 million in 2014 ($168 million to $128 million) and still lost nine seats and the majority. From 2006 to 2014, Democrats outraised Republicans by $187 million dollars.

The real story would be if Republicans…

Speaking Style Says Volumes About GOP Race

Stuart Rothenberg November 25, 2015 · 10:17 AM EST

In a race filled with plenty of fast-talking, quick-tongued hopefuls — including Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and, at one point, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal — Ben Carson stands out as very different, and not only because of his race, resume and life…

Imperfect Candidates Get Elected

Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2015 · 2:11 PM EST

Every day there’s a new story exposing a candidate or a politician, and each misstep is portrayed as a disqualifier — a mistake that will lead to the candidate’s demise. It can be easy to forget that imperfect people get elected to office.

A few weeks ago, the Democratic Congressional Campaign…

2016 Senate Ratings (November 21, 2015)

November 21, 2015 · 10:39 PM EST

New Hampshire Senate: Clash of the Titans

Nathan L. Gonzales November 20, 2015 · 2:30 PM EST

Voters in New Hampshire are so consumed by the presidential primary that they may not even realize they’re also hosting one of the most competitive senate races in the country. 

Republican Kelly Ayotte kept the seat in GOP hands with her convincing victory in 2010. But that was a great Republican…