Despite Accounts, Democrats All on the Same Page in Denver

Stuart Rothenberg August 31, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Even a few journalists have started to wonder whether the dominant narrative of the first days of the Democratic National Convention is entirely accurate.

Sure, a chunk of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s (N.Y.) supporters initially didn’t completely embrace Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) as the…

Democrats Focus on Faith Agenda, Activists Interrupt

Nathan L. Gonzales August 30, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Democrats continued their unprecedented outreach to faith voters in Denver this week as they worked to expand the values issue agenda to include more than hot-button social issues. But after two official faith panels at the Colorado Convention Center on Tuesday, it’s clear that abortion is still…

Jones Will Be Missed by Neighbors

Nathan L. Gonzales August 29, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Rep. Stephanie Tubbs Jones (D-Ohio), who died last week, was not one of those Members of Congress who makes Washington, D.C., their home and rarely goes back to their district. I know, because I lived above her in a D.C. apartment building for the past five years.

Even though her time in…

New Jersey 5: National Celebrity Doesn’t Equal Victory in House Elections

Stuart Rothenberg August 28, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

It isn’t difficult to find Democratic Congressional candidates who have a chance of knocking off a GOP incumbent or winning a Republican open seat. Democrats should net at least 10 Congressional seats this November, possibly many more. It is going to be a very good Democratic year at the…

Florida 21: South Florida Race Heats Up in Denver

Nathan L. Gonzales August 27, 2008 · 3:46 AM EDT

Both parties’ candidates in Florida’s 21st district are in Denver this week, but don’t expect them to cross paths.

“He won’t debate me in Miami, so I’ll debate him here,” former Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez (D) said on the convention floor Monday night. His opponent, Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart…

Should Democrats Be Feeling Any Kind of Buyer’s Remorse?

Stuart Rothenberg August 26, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

As Democrats kick off their national convention to nominate Illinois Sen. Barack Obama as their nominee for president, there is little or no evidence that activists or insiders are having second thoughts about the party’s standard-bearer.

In other words, buyer’s remorse has not settled in, and…

At the Conventions

August 25, 2008 · 9:45 AM EDT

The entire staff of the Rothenberg Political Report is attending the conventions over the next two weeks. We’ll be posting some of our thoughts and analysis over at, which is free for the conventions, and right here.

New Print Edition: Minnesota Senate & Alabama 5

August 24, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The August 22, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

Beware: Evangelical Polling Ahead

Nathan L. Gonzales August 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Evangelicals are in the spotlight for the thousandth time this election cycle, after both Sens. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and John McCain (R-Ariz.) appeared at Rick Warren’s church on Saturday night.

But there is a significant problem with analyzing the evangelical vote. Pollsters can’t seem to…

Summer Polling Often a Poor Predictor

Nathan L. Gonzales August 22, 2008 · 1:35 PM EDT

House candidates and campaign committees are ramping up efforts to collect polling data from districts across the country, as they look to develop messages and lock in targets for the November elections. But using last cycle as a guide, what looks and smells like a vulnerable incumbent in summer…