TX Governor Moved to Narrow Advantage for Perry

March 3, 2010 · 7:13 AM EST

Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) ran a great campaign in order to avoid a primary runoff against U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison. But running for a third full-term is rarely easy for any governor and Perry’s 2006 reelection with 39% of the vote (in a multi-candidate race) was under-whelming. Former…

Don’t Believe the Hype … or Everything That You Read

March 2, 2010 · 9:17 AM EST

Periodically (it seems more often these days, actually), I come across some really silly political stuff that screams out for attention. Here are four examples. Caveat emptor!

Exhibit No. 1: A Feb. 17 survey of 500 likely Wisconsin voters by Rasmussen Reports.

Rasmussen is an automated poll…

Ohio Senate: Bush League

Nathan L. Gonzales March 1, 2010 · 12:01 PM EST

Democrats and Republicans envision former President George W. Bush being a factor in this year’s Ohio senate race, but in very different ways and with two different outcomes.

In the face of a deteriorating political climate, Democrats remain confident that they can use the Bush connections on…

West Virginia 1: Major Pain

Nathan L. Gonzales March 1, 2010 · 12:00 PM EST

The voters of West Virginia’s 1st District have been sending a Mollohan to Congress for over three decades, but this year, Republicans are making a very serious run at breaking the streak.

Former state legislators David McKinley and Sarah Minear and others are battling for the GOP nomination…

Would Reconciliation for Health Care Affect Midterm Elections?

February 26, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

Democrats have plenty of reasons to try to pass health care reform through the Senate using reconciliation to avoid the need for a 60-vote majority. But using the process would constitute a risky roll of the dice for party leaders.

Democratic strategists clearly understand the importance of…

KY Senate: Grayson Readies Second TV Ad Against Paul

February 25, 2010 · 6:46 AM EST

A new Trey Grayson TV spot scheduled to air starting tomorrow, Friday, in the Fort Campbell and Fort Knox areas continues the Kentucky Secretary of State’s targeted campaign against GOP primary opponent Rand Paul.

The new ad, which follows an ad in Eastern Kentucky criticizing Paul’s position…

2010 Senate Ratings (February 19, 2010)

February 24, 2010 · 6:00 AM EST

Republicans have to sort out a competitive primary in California, but Sen. Barbara Boxer’s (D) poll numbers are less than intimidating. The contest is worth watching because of the building GOP wave. Move from Currently Safe to Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party.

While events between now and…

What Do Voters Want? Legislators or Ideological Voting Machines?

February 23, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

What do voters want — Members of Congress who approach every issue as if it were an ideological litmus test that reflects the ultimate battle of good versus evil, or Members with the experiences and character to bring less rigid perspectives and problem-solving skills to almost any issue?

2010 Senate Overview (February 19, 2010)

Stuart Rothenberg February 19, 2010 · 12:00 PM EST

The likelihood of Democratic Senate gains evaporated over the summer and fall, and it is now the GOP that is headed for gains. Eight of the dozen most competitive Senate seats up this year are now held by Democrats, meaning that Republicans have plenty of opportunities for net gains. The…

Ohio: Ganley Switching Races, Will Challenge Sutton

February 17, 2010 · 11:37 AM EST

Wealthy car dealer Tom Ganley (R) is dropping out of the open-seat Ohio Senate race and will challenge Rep. Betty Sutton (D) in the 13th district instead, according to a source familiar with the decision.

The Ganley switch is a coup for Republicans because it gives former Rep. Rob Portman a…