Archive

Capitol Hill Democrats Have Met Their Enemy and It Is Them

Stuart Rothenberg July 30, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Earlier this week, I asked a veteran Washington-based Democratic political operative who has worked for more than his share of liberals whether he had seen any indication that grass-roots “progressives” were getting angry with the party’s performance on Capitol Hill and were starting to make…

Late Primaries Can Equal Big Headaches in Targeted Races

Nathan L. Gonzales July 29, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

As House Republicans are drawing up their list of top Democratic targets in 2010, a familiar enemy awaits: the primary election calendar.

A handful of the GOP’s best takeover opportunities are in states such as Arizona, Maryland, Florida and New Hampshire, where late and crowded primaries have…

2010 Senate Ratings

July 27, 2009 · 6:10 PM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings.

#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans



Toss-Up (4 R, 2 D)
  • KY Open (Bunning, R) *
  • MO Open (Bond, R)
  • NH Open (Gregg, R)
  • OH Open (Voinovich, R)
  • IL Open (Burris, D) *
  • Dodd (D-CT)
Narrow Advantage for…

2009-2010 Gubernatorial Ratings

July 27, 2009 · 11:58 AM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. 2009 races in italics.
# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans



Lean Takeover (4 R, 5 D)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • FL Open (Crist, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)

Midterms, History and the Expectations Game for the House in 2010

Stuart Rothenberg July 27, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

One of the jobs of nonpartisan analysts is to keep the parties honest. Partisans have a tendency to talk themselves into certain opinions, and there are enough data out there to make any case they wish. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the expectations game.

Over the past few months, both…

New Print Edition: 2010 Senate Overview

July 25, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT
The July 23, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of…

Running Against Bush: Can It Work Again for Democrats in 2010?

Stuart Rothenberg July 23, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

Democrats ran against Herbert Hoover for decades. Republicans ran against Jimmy Carter for years. Can Democrats make 2010 another referendum on George W. Bush, or at least use the unpopular former president to demonize Republicans in competitive races?

Democratic operatives assert that running…

Educating America About a Judge and Other Summer Follies

Stuart Rothenberg July 20, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

In a stunning statement Monday sure to affect her confirmation prospects, Supreme Court nominee Sonia Sotomayor pledged her “fidelity to the law.” That must have been regarded as big news to the folks over at the Washington Post, since that was the bold headline on Page One of Tuesday’s…

GOP Strategists Seek to Alter the Health Care Reform Debate

Stuart Rothenberg July 16, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

While Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.) tries to work with key GOP committee members to fashion a bipartisan health care bill, Republican insiders are chewing over the results of two large mid-June surveys conducted for the Republican National Committee to find out what voters really…

New Print Edition: Colorado 4 & Washington 8

July 14, 2009 · 9:00 AM EDT

The July 10, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of…