New Print Edition: 2010 Senate Overview

April 17, 2009 · 4:29 PM EDT
The April 17, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers.

The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of…

2010 Senate Overview (April 17, 2009)

Stuart Rothenberg April 17, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats continue to benefit from a favorable political landscape, solid poll numbers from President Barack Obama and generally successful Senate candidate fundraising, as the party continues to point itself toward additional gains next year.

Over the past few months, only the Connecticut…

Have House GOP Retirement Woes Run Their Course?

Stuart Rothenberg April 15, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

House retirements are running a bit ahead of schedule this cycle, at least compared with where they stood in 2005 and 2007. And if they even approach the same numbers as in the past two election cycles, retirements could play a significant part in the eventual 2010 House battleground.


The Most Vulnerable Senator Up for Re-Election in 2010?

Stuart Rothenberg April 9, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Move over, Jim Bunning. You have company.

Veteran Sen. Chris Dodd (D) should not be vulnerable in his home state of Connecticut. As a longtime officeholder in a reliably Democratic state and the chairman of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, Dodd should have the stature,…

Gun Control: Stu on CNN

April 8, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Embedded video from CNN Video

New York’s 20th: It Is a Little Like Kissing Your Sister

Stuart Rothenberg April 6, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

It’s overtime in New York’s 20th, where Democrat Scott Murphy’s lead over Republican Jim Tedisco is so small that absentee ballots will determine the district’s next Congressman.

But in some respects it doesn’t matter who wins the seat. The results tell us something about the public mood, the…

Redux of 1994 is Unlikely

Nathan L. Gonzales April 5, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Having just lost the White House and facing smaller minorities in the House and the Senate, Republicans begin the 2010 election cycle in a remarkably similar position to where they were in 1993 — just one year before the GOP’s historic sweep of Congress.

At least on paper.

But while on the…

South Carolina 1: We Didn’t Start the Fire

Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Early last fall, it looked as if South Carolina Cong. Henry Brown (R) was on the fast track to involuntary involvement. He hadn’t faced a Democratic opponent in years, let alone a serious one, when he was suddenly confronted with a well-funded challenger and a national wave that was sweeping out…

New Hampshire 1: Politics Goes On

Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

Two years ago, Carol Shea-Porter rode the Democratic wave into Congress. And she would have been swept out last cycle had she not learned some critical lessons.

Shea-Porter defeated incumbent Cong. Jeb Bradley (R) without the help of the national party in 2006, so she initially rejected party…

Off-Year Specials Often Provide No Tea Leaves

Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2009 · 12:05 AM EDT

Special elections this early in the cycle are generally poor predictors of a party’s future electoral success or failure in the next general. But it doesn’t matter who wins today’s special election in New York’s 20th district, breathless over-analysis will rule the day.

Those who want to look…