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Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz

by Stuart Rothenberg October 15, 2015 · 11:07 AM EDT

It is increasingly apparent the GOP needs to nominate Texas Sen. Ted Cruz for president next year.

The party’s difficulty in finding a broadly acceptable candidate for speaker, combined with the success of anti-establishment candidates in the presidential race, should make it clear to all that the…

Why I Keep Forgetting About John Kasich

by Stuart Rothenberg October 9, 2015 · 10:47 AM EDT

The Republican contest for president probably will boil down to a fight between a pragmatic conservative, such as former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, and either an uncompromising conservative, such as Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, or an outsider, like Ben Carson.

Most of the GOP…

Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones

by Stuart Rothenberg October 8, 2015 · 11:18 AM EDT

Last month, national polls by CNN/ORC, Fox News and NBC News/Wall Street Journal got plenty of attention, and they certainly helped readers and viewers understand what is going on in the Republican and Democratic presidential contests.

But if history is any guide, early national polls are far less…

Draft Biden Organizer Dismissed Over Past Legal Problems

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 7, 2015 · 10:54 AM EDT

Draft Biden PAC is gaining steam and staff in its unaffiliated effort to encourage Vice President Joe Biden to get into the presidential race, but it recently dismissed one of the group’s initial organizers after his past legal problems came to light.

Former congressional aide and campaign…

State Senator Prepares GOP Primary Challenge to Shimkus

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 6, 2015 · 2:18 PM EDT

State Sen. Kyle McCarter is poised to launch a primary challenge to GOP Sen. John Shimkus in Illinois’ 15th District later this week, according to GOP sources.

The news shouldn’t come as a complete surprise. McCarter has been openly discussing the possibility with fellow Illinois Republicans since…

Hassan’s Decision Changes Outlook in Two New Hampshire Races

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 5, 2015 · 12:02 PM EDT

After months of speculation, Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan announced her bid to challenge GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire, setting up what should be one of the most competitive senate races in the country. 

Hassan’s decision is yet another victory for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign…