Archive

Utah Primaries: Power to the Precincts

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 9, 2012 · 2:00 PM EST

Utah’s primary isn’t for another three months, but Sen. Orrin Hatch’s electoral fate could be sealed next week.

The six-term GOP senator is trying to avoid following in the footsteps of his colleague, Bob Bennett, who not only lost reelection in 2010, but failed to make it out of his party’s…

North Carolina: Democrats Feeling Tar Heel Blue

by Jessica Taylor March 9, 2012 · 1:59 PM EST

California, Texas and Florida get the most of the attention when it comes to redistricting, but Republican efforts in North Carolina could be a key state in keeping their party in the majority.

By decreasing the Republican percentage in districts they already control, the GOP was able to…

North Carolina Governor: Republicans Poised for Takeover

by Jessica Taylor March 9, 2012 · 1:58 PM EST

In North Carolina’s gubernatorial race, Republicans wanted to take on the incumbent. For months, Gov. Bev Perdue (D) struggled to gain any traction and GOP strategists saw the Tar Heel State as a ripe takeover opportunity. Now that the governor announced she wouldn’t seek a second term,…

For Mitt Romney, a Good Night but Not a Knockout

by Stuart Rothenberg March 9, 2012 · 10:19 AM EST

More than two months after the race for the Republican nomination began in Iowa, the contest remains stuck. That’s both good and bad news for the leader in the Republican race.

No one in the GOP contest is able to overtake Mitt Romney, but the former Massachusetts governor seems incapable of…

Ohio Primaries: Two Incumbents Fall, But Beware of the Anti-Incumbent Hype

by Jessica Taylor March 7, 2012 · 12:54 PM EST

Republican cartographers guaranteed that one incumbent would lose in Tuesday’s primaries in Ohio when they drew two Democratic Members into the same district. But few people expected Republicans to lose one of their own.

In the 9th District, Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur handily defeated her…

Nebraska and Hawaii: Studying Senate Handicapping

by Stuart Rothenberg March 7, 2012 · 8:00 AM EST

There is no single “right” way to handicap a race.

You can evaluate where the race is at a particular moment and “rate” what you see. Or, after noting the candidates’ current standing, you can make an informed projection about how the race will play out, changing your rating if and when events…