Report Shorts (February 5, 2016) California, Kentucky, Maryland, North Carolina, Tennessee

February 5, 2016 · 1:55 PM EST

California’s 48th District. Just two years removed from Dave Brat’s primary upset of Majority Leader Eric Cantor in Virginia, GOP Rep. Dana Rohrabacher of Orange County isn’t taking his primary challenger seriously. But what may look like movement against the congressman is more likely preparation…

Revenge of the Old Fogies

Stuart Rothenberg February 4, 2016 · 2:08 PM EST

While the decision makers at news organizations from the Public Broadcasting System to CNN and the three major networks scramble to appeal to younger viewers, often by skewing younger with their hosts and commentators, Republican and Democratic voters in Iowa and nationally have embraced a…

Handicapping the GOP Race Past Iowa

Stuart Rothenberg February 1, 2016 · 9:30 AM EST

Have we entered a new period in American politics, when establishment candidates on the GOP side don’t win their party’s nomination? That is the question I posed in a June 4, 2015 column. It is still a relevant question.

While I answered that it is a mistake to assume that the establishment…

It’s Official: Put a Fork in Kasich’s Candidacy

Stuart Rothenberg January 31, 2016 · 8:30 AM EST

Feel free to believe that there is a glimmer of hope for Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s bid for the Republican presidential nomination. If that gives you comfort or plays to your own preferences, be my guest. I certainly wouldn’t want to make you uncomfortable.

But even if you believe that, try also to…

Hillary and Jeb: Destined to Play the Long Game?

Stuart Rothenberg January 28, 2016 · 2:57 PM EST

In a previous election cycle, or maybe a previous decade, Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush might, at this point, be coasting to their parties’ nominations. This cycle, however, both resemble tragic heroes — politicians who have worked hard to prepare themselves for the presidency yet face possible…

NRSC Names Huey IE Director

Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2016 · 8:55 AM EST

NRSC Senior Advisor Daniel Huey will be the committee’s independent expenditure director for the 2016 cycle. The committee also picked Chelsea Hawker as deputy director for the IE.

“Together with our great candidates and their state-of-the-art campaigns, Daniel and Chelsea’s talent will again…

House Overview: No Guts, No Glory for Democrats

Nathan L. Gonzales January 25, 2016 · 3:00 PM EST

For the last year, House Democratic strategists have been dreaming of Republicans nominating Donald Trump or Texas Sen. Cruz for president. With less than 10 months to go before Election Day, and Trump and Cruz leading in the polls, those dreams are much closer to reality.

Democrats need a…

2016 House Overview (January 25, 2016) Alabama - Illinois

January 25, 2016 · 2:59 PM EST

Alabama. March 1 primary. April 12 run-off.
2nd District (Roby, R). Some allies of Martha Roby, and her 1st District colleague Bradley Byrne, are concerned that Donald Trump and Ted Cruz will turnout a disproportionate number of angry conservative voters in March and hurt their renomination…