Archive

Arizona 8 Special: Table Set for Giffords’ Seat

by Jessica Taylor April 18, 2012 · 11:59 AM EDT

The nominees are in place for the highly competitive Arizona special election to replace former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D), as 2010 GOP nominee Jesse Kelly cruised to an expected primary win on Tuesday. 

Kelly took 36 percent of the vote. His next closest competitor was retired Air Force…

Can Mitt Romney Return to ‘Referendum’ Message?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 18, 2012 · 9:49 AM EDT

Three months ago, Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney had a very clear message: President Barack Obama had failed to turn the economy around or create jobs and, therefore, didn’t deserve another term.

It was a succinct, uncomplicated message, based on easily accessible unemployment and…

The Vacant Center Aisle Caucus?

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 11, 2012 · 10:05 AM EDT

Republican strategists certainly weren’t pleased with Illinois Rep. Timothy Johnson’s post-primary retirement decision, but why was a Democratic Member of Congress from almost 1,000 miles away so upset?

“Shedding a tear for my Center Aisle Caucus co-chair,” Rep. Christopher Murphy (D-Conn.)…

Taking A Different Look At The Gender Gap

by Stuart Rothenberg April 10, 2012 · 11:58 AM EDT

I have found over the years that when a narrative works its way into the collective wisdom, there is no way of changing it. So my goal here is quite modest: to get at least a handful of people to pause, take a deep breath and simply chew over the data a bit before using it to draw unshakable…

Parties Seek Answers to Anti-Incumbent PAC’s Motives

by Jessica Taylor April 9, 2012 · 3:20 PM EDT

The Campaign for Primary Accountability (CPA), a super PAC that claims no partisan allegiance and has targeted long-time incumbents randomly, has political strategists on both sides of the aisle perplexed.

Can the CPA defeat incumbent members of Congress by swooping into contests at the last…

House Battleground Comes Into Focus

by Stuart Rothenberg April 6, 2012 · 3:00 PM EDT

While President Obama’s numbers have strengthened in some polls, the public’s mood has brightened a bit, and Democratic prospects in the Senate certainly have improved, Democrats still face a difficult task in their effort to net 25 seats and take back the House of Representatives.

2012 House Overview (April 6, 2012) Alabama - Florida

April 6, 2012 · 2:59 PM EDT

Alabama (6R, 1D)
The state’s new Congressional map makes the districts of freshman Martha Roby (R) and veteran Mike Rogers (R) more Republican, so Democrats aren’t likely to threaten here in 2012. GOP Reps. Joe Bonner and Spencer Bachus survived primary challenges with relative ease.

Alaska…

2012 House Overview (April 6, 2012) Georgia - New York

April 6, 2012 · 2:57 PM EDT

Georgia (8R, 5D – gaining 1 new seat) July 31 primary, August 21 runoff.
GA 9 (Open; new). State Rep. Doug Collins, radio talk show host Martha Zoller and Jackson County Commissioner Hunter Bicknell are in the GOP contest for this new seat, and the winner of the nomination will be a prohibitive…

2012 House Overview (April 6, 2012) North Carolina - Wyoming

April 6, 2012 · 2:57 PM EDT

North Carolina (6R, 7D) May 8 primary, June 26 runoff.
NC 7 (McIntyre, D). Democrat Mike McIntyre’s district became slightly more Republican in redistricting, even though a third of the district is new territory for him. But if any endangered Tar Heel Democrat survives, it’ll be McIntyre.…