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Missing the Boat on the Big Political News

Stuart Rothenberg August 26, 2015 · 9:00 AM EDT

On Aug. 21, I did something — twice — that I rarely do. I tweeted. But it wasn’t about Donald Trump’s poll numbers or Hillary Rodham Clinton’s emails. It was about the stock market’s plunge.

While Trump’s latest salvo (no matter the subject) is always entertaining and the size of Bernard Sanders’…

Crist, Culver Contemplate Humbling Transition to the House

Nathan L. Gonzales August 25, 2015 · 8:55 AM EDT

It’s not easy to transition from governor to become one of 100 senators. But former Florida Gov. Charlie Crist and former Iowa Gov. Chet Culver are contemplating something even more humbling — jumping from chief executive to become one of 435 in the House.

Earlier this month, my Roll Call…

Donald Trump and the Fight for the Senate

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Stuart Rothenberg August 21, 2015 · 1:59 PM EDT

As Donald Trump dominates the headlines and political talk show circuit, it’s worth pondering what impact he is having – or could have – on next year’s elections.

It probably goes without saying that there is little chance that the multi-millionaire real estate mogul and self-promoter will be the…

Indiana 3: Home is Where the Heart Is

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Nathan L. Gonzales August 21, 2015 · 1:58 PM EDT

Pam Galloway has never met Alex Mooney, but she might owe him a Thank You card. 

If Mooney, a former state senator from Maryland, hadn’t been elected to West Virginia’s 2nd District last cycle, it would be easy to dismiss Galloway, a former state senator from Wisconsin running in Indiana’s 3rd…

2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview: Parties Brace for Bigger Battles Ahead

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August 21, 2015 · 1:57 PM EDT

This year’s competitive race for governor in Kentucky is just a small taste of more and bigger gubernatorial races to come over the next three years. 

This is the slow beginning of the four-year gubernatorial cycle. Three states have elections this year (Kentucky, Mississippi, and Louisiana) and…

Report Shorts (August 21, 2015) Florida 5, Illinois 15, Texas 16, Iowa 1 & 4

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August 21, 2015 · 1:56 PM EDT

Florida’s 5th District. The state’s congressional map is still influx as the Legislature deals with the court’s demands. Democratic Rep. Corrine Brown’s district is likely to change significantly, including dropping Orlando territory and gaining parts of Jacksonville. Under that scenario, former…

Group Suggests ‘Schock Waves’ in Illinois Special Election

Nathan L. Gonzales August 19, 2015 · 10:04 AM EDT

Most Democratic strategists probably couldn’t name their party’s nominee in the upcoming race for Illinois’ 18th District, or even remember that there is a special election on September 10. But one not-for-profit group is trying to gin up interest in a possible historic outcome, even as the final…

A Modest Proposal: Timeshare Congressional Districts

Nathan L. Gonzales August 17, 2015 · 8:45 AM EDT

The sharing economy is all the rage. People are sharing homes and cars, books and tools. Why not congressional districts?

Republicans and Democrats sink millions of dollars into a quartet of races that regularly flip from one party to the other. Over the last four election cycles, New Hampshire’s…

Stop the Presses: O’Malley Nabs Swalwell Endorsement

Stuart Rothenberg August 14, 2015 · 12:10 PM EDT

Who knew the Democratic presidential race would be fundamentally changed in the blink of an eye? But that happened recently when California congressman Eric Swalwell, 34, endorsed former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley.

Well, maybe I’m exaggerating a little.

In the email I received from the…