Archive

Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate Moves to Toss-Up/Tilt Republican

May 13, 2013 · 10:55 AM EDT

Two of Democrats’ top picks to replace Sen. Tim Johnson (D) in South Dakota have declined to run, leaving the party’s hold on the seat in a precarious position. 

In the last few days, U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson, son of the senator, and former Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, indicated they…

Massachusetts Senate Special Election Race Still Looks Tight

by Stuart Rothenberg May 12, 2013 · 10:01 PM EDT

A new poll conducted for Republican Gabriel Gomez’s campaign shows Gomez trailing Democratic Rep. Ed Markey by just three points.

The May 5-7 poll of 800 likely special election voters by OnMessage, Inc., a Republican political consulting firm, found Markey leading Gomez 46 percent to 43…

The NRA is Missing an Opportunity to Control Gun Debate

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 9, 2013 · 3:04 PM EDT

The National Rifle Association has an opportunity to claim the mantle of public support in the gun control debate, and it would cost the group only a few thousand dollars in a meaningless race in Missouri to do it.

State House Speaker Pro Tem Jason Smith (R) is heavily favored to win the June 4…

House Strategists Differ on Candidate Timing

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 9, 2013 · 12:01 PM EDT

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel began calling prospective Democratic candidates for 2014 on Election Night 2012, but many Republican strategists have been encouraging their potential recruits to keep their powder dry.

House strategists on both sides of the…

Ranking Potential Flips for 2014 House Rematches

by Stuart Rothenberg May 8, 2013 · 12:06 PM EDT

It’s looking as if we may see more than a dozen House race rematches in 2014. While some of them are likely to have the same outcomes as in 2012, others could easily flip party control. Here is my initial list of potential rematch flips, with the first contests listed more likely to flip and the…

Georgia 12: Barrow Declines Senate Run, But House Democrats Rejoice

May 7, 2013 · 10:00 PM EDT

Rep. John Barrow (D) announced on Tuesday that he would not run for the U.S. Senate in Georgia and he will likely seek re-election to his House seat. His decision dramatically improved Democratic chances of holding the 12th District, which leans Republican, by the numbers. Without him, it would…

South Carolina 1: Sanford Wins, Seat Returns to Safe GOP for 2014

May 7, 2013 · 9:57 PM EDT

Former Gov. Mark Sanford disappointed both parties by winning the special election in South Carolina’s 1st District and keeping the seat in Republican hands.

It looks like national GOP strategists played the special election just right for once, and it wasn’t because they held the seat. With…

South Carolina 1 Special a Photo Finish?

by Stuart Rothenberg May 6, 2013 · 11:08 PM EDT

With the special election in South Carolina just one day away, both Republicans and Democrats are unsure of the outcome.

Former Palmetto State Gov. Mark Sanford, a Republican, began with a narrow advantage over Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch, but even Republicans pulling for Sanford believe…