House News & Analysis

Parties Continue Special Election Slog

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 21, 2017 · 2:56 PM EDT

We’ve gone from theories to reality as voters head to the polls in the first batch of special elections. While Republicans staved off disaster in the 4th District of Kansas and the initial primary in the 6th District of Georgia, it’s clear that President Donald Trump is inspiring Democrats to…

Georgia 6: Runoff a Challenge for Both Parties

by Stuart Rothenberg April 20, 2017 · 8:55 AM EDT

Once again, a special election received more attention than it deserved.

No, I’m not saying that it didn’t matter or that the results can’t tell us something about Donald Trump and the 2018 midterm elections. But the primary in Georgia’s 6th District and the subsequent special election certainly aren’t anything…

8 Things I Think I Think After the Georgia 6 Special Primary

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 19, 2017 · 12:15 PM EDT

My family sat down for dinner at a nice Amish family’s house in Lancaster County, Pa. on Tuesday night, less than two hours before the polls closed in Georgia’s 6th District, and Jon Ossoff’s name didn’t come up once. That’s not surprising, but it is what happens when special elections…

11 Things I Think I Think After the Kansas 4 Special Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 12, 2017 · 11:45 AM EDT

After a few months in the electoral desert, we finally have election results to digest from a competitive race, albeit an unexpected one.

State Treasurer Ron Estes pulled out a 53-46 percent victory to keep the 4th District of Kansas in Republican hands. The 7-point margin is shocking…

Georgia 6 Special: Red Alert In Suburban District

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2017 · 2:56 PM EDT

It’s not a surprise that the special election to replace Health & Human Services Secretary Tom Price is competitive considering Donald Trump’s underperformance in the Atlanta suburbs. But the fact that Democrats have a reasonable chance to score an upset on April 18 is still remarkable.

In search of an…

Reason for Democratic Optimism, But Health Care Won’t be Enough

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2017 · 2:55 PM EDT

From the women’s marches to town hall protests, Democrats were feeling emboldened about the next elections even before Republicans fumbled their attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act. Democratic optimism grew (as well as media comparisons to a certain previous midterm election involving health care) as polling revealed that the…

Texas 16: Yes, A Safe Democratic Seat in Texas

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2017 · 2:54 PM EDT

It’s hard to remember the last time Democrats won a statewide race in Texas, but there are pockets of Democratic voters in the Lone Star State. 

Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke’s run for the Senate against Republican Ted Cruz opens up the El Paso-based 16th District in West Texas. It’s not…

Kansas 4 Special: Not So Solid for Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2017 · 2:53 PM EDT

A few weeks ago, Republicans identified a special election problem in the Atlanta suburbs and proceeded to spend a few million dollars on television ads in Georgia’s 6th District. But now the special election in 4th District of Kansas is causing some headaches in the final days. 

Unlike the Georgia…

So Much for Deal Making

by Stuart Rothenberg April 5, 2017 · 9:20 AM EDT

It seemed logical. But so far it hasn’t happened.

Last year, many political observers were suggesting that new political leadership in the nation’s capital could well usher in a wave of political negotiation and compromise. No, the legislative process wouldn’t suddenly become easy, but the unadulterated partisanship that had paralyzed…

Even More Reason to Watch the House in 2018

by Stuart Rothenberg March 29, 2017 · 9:20 AM EDT

Barely ten days into the Donald Trump Administration, I wrote that the new president’s “fast start” made it likely the House of Representatives would be “in play” in 2018.

Some, I’m sure, thought that suggestion ridiculous. After all, state legislatures have generally minimized the number of competitive congressional districts…