Senate News & Analysis

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards for 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg December 3, 2014 · 3:29 PM EST

Well, we’ve made it through another strange political year — and let’s face it, they are all strange — so it’s time for me to devote another column to picking the best, the worst and the weirdest candidates, campaigns and outcomes of the year.

As always, I will…

What Did — and Didn’t — Surprise Me This Cycle

by Stuart Rothenberg November 29, 2014 · 8:30 AM EST

Every election cycle is filled with twists and turns, upsets and surprises. And every cycle is filled with goofy arguments, warnings about things that never happen and unsurprising outcomes that surprise only the politically uneducated.

For me, the biggest surprises included Dave Brat’s primary upset of House Majority…

The 2014 Elections: How’d We Do?

November 21, 2014 · 2:31 PM EST

It seems like historic elections are the norm lately. As many Americans continue to feel uncertain about the economy and jaded about politicians, the electoral environment continues to be volatile. In this month’s midterm elections, much of the frustration was taken out on President Barack Obama through candidates and…

Louisiana Races Go Into Overtime

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 21, 2014 · 2:30 PM EST

Not so long ago, it looked as if the entire political world would descend on Louisiana for the state’s December 6 runoff because the Senate majority hinged on the outcome of that contest. But that scenario was washed away by strong Republican gains earlier this month. Still, the trio…

Some Lessons for Democratic Strategists and Other Observers

by Stuart Rothenberg November 19, 2014 · 12:38 PM EST

You could feel it from Day One of this cycle. Senate Democratic strategists knew they were smarter than their Republican adversaries. They’d out-think them and out-work them.

Incumbent Democratic senators who run good campaigns rarely lose, I was reminded. Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet, who had been appointed to…

The Stunningly Static White Evangelical Vote

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 18, 2014 · 10:04 AM EST

There’s plenty of discussion about the difference between midterm and presidential electorates, but there is one emerging constant: the white evangelical vote.

At least one interest group, Ralph Reed’s Faith & Freedom Coalition, claimed that conservative Christians played a “decisive role” in the recent midterm elections.…

No Guarantee Democrats Rebound in 2016

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 14, 2014 · 9:47 AM EST

After suffering heavy losses in the House and the Senate in the recent midterm elections, some congressional Democrats may breathe a sigh of relief now that President Barack Obama is entering his final two years in office.

But the approaching end of the Obama Administration doesn’t mean Obama…

Mary Landrieu’s Tall Task in the Louisiana Runoff

by Stuart Rothenberg November 13, 2014 · 3:26 PM EST

Louisiana Democratic Sen. Mary L. Landrieu has already made it quite clear that she isn’t going to go quietly in her bid to win a fourth term in next month’s Dec. 6 runoff.

Her effort to brand Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy as “nearly incoherent” ranks up there…

2014: Plenty of Surprises, but None Totally Unexpected

by Stuart Rothenberg November 7, 2014 · 12:08 PM EST

Yes, that was a wave. A big one. In many respects, it was a wave that was larger and more damaging to Democrats than in 2010.

Republicans now have more House seats, more Senate seats and more governorships than they did after the humongous GOP wave of 2010.…

Ratings Change: Louisiana Senate Moves from Tilt Republican To Lean Republican

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 6, 2014 · 3:20 PM EST

There was a chance that the entire country would be spending the month of November focused on Louisiana as the Senate majority hinged on the fate of Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu in a December runoff. That scenario has evaporated, but is the race still worth watching?

Landrieu finished…