Senate News & Analysis
A week before the election, Stu waded into the discussion about what constitutes an electoral wave. One of his main points: “I know it when I see it.” Well, we saw it on Tuesday.
While Republicans gained more House and Senate seats than the most likely…
This column first appeared in Roll Call on Sept. 8, 2014.
While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats.
But I wouldn’t be shocked by…
Here is an emerging surprise of the midterm elections: Republican candidates are more popular than Democratic candidates in top Senate contests.
It’s no secret the path to victory for Democrats in the Senate was to demonize GOP candidates in the eyes of voters who are dissatisfied with President…
Almost two months ago, on September 8th, I wrote that while the Rothenberg Political Report ratings projected Republican Senate gains in the five to eight seat range, I was “expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats.”
“But I…
The playing field of competitive Senate races hasn’t changed, but Republican chances to win those seats has improved in the last couple of days.
Since our latest ratings changes on Wednesday, GOP prospects have improved in Colorado and Iowa, making the path to a net gain of at…
One of the most watched Senate races of 2014 is over. Take it off your list of states that could fall either way on Tuesday.
Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell has opened up a comfortable lead over Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes, secretary of state of the Bluegrass State,…
President Barack Obama is about to do what no president has done in the past 50 years: Have two horrible, terrible, awful midterm elections in a row.
In fact, Obama is likely to have the worst midterm numbers of any two-term president going back to Democrat Harry S.…
Five Senate seats look increasingly like they will be keys to what kind of election the two parties will have this year.
The GOP looks poised to take over six Democratic seats: Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia. If they do that and hold all…
Most neutral observers expect Republicans to take the Senate and make at least small gains in the House, but talk about a possible GOP political wave has all but disappeared.
However, ten days to go until Election Day, I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of a “wave” election…
Barack Obama was elected on a swell of energy and enthusiasm, but he might leave the Democratic Party worse off than when he took office.
The disconnect between the Obama political operation and Democratic strategists focused on Congress is nothing new. Congressional Democrats have always been a bit…