Is Sen. Bob Casey (D) this year’s October surprise?
The Pennsylvania Democrat’s re-election race was largely ignored for most of the cycle until recently when multiple public polls showed him in a surprisingly tight contest with wealthy businessman Tom Smith.
In the last 10 days, five polls…
I usually draw a blank when people ask me to offer a possible upset or two. After all, I’d rather not be surprised on election night, though there are almost always a couple of unexpected outcomes.
But I’ve been looking at some numbers recently and have been struck by a handful of races that I…
It is three weeks before Election Day and a handful of incumbents are already seeing the writing on the wall. They won’t be coming back to Congress. It’s time to look for other gainful employment or merely enjoy the quiet pleasures of forced retirement.
North Carolina Democratic Rep. Larry…
Veteran Democratic Rep. John Tierney (D) is up with a good TV spot addressing his family’s legal problems, but it looks like too little, too late. Tierney has cancelled his final weeks of TV, and polls show him trailing challenger Richard Tisei (R), who we have regarded for months as a very…
Two weeks ago, Republicans were growing dispirited, even getting desperate.
Presidential nominee Mitt Romney was still on the defensive over his “47 percent” comment, and GOP consultants were worrying about what they acknowledged was some softening of Republican House and Senate poll numbers…
What a difference a week makes. Just when it appeared that President Obama was gaining an advantage and some key Senate races were slipping away from Republicans, Romney is back and all is not lost in the Republican fight for the majority.
But while Republican strategists insist that the…
Ten days ago, Republican strategists seemed confident about their party’s ability to hold the House but started showing some signs of nervousness about their ability to withstand a disaster at the top of the ticket. But now, Mitt Romney’s resurgence has them feeling more comfortable -- even giddy…
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