Senate News & Analysis

Stakes Get Higher in Fight for the Senate

Nathan L. Gonzales October 21, 2016 · 3:00 PM EDT

As the presidential race looks increasingly over, the fight for the Senate rages on. GOP candidates continue to weather the Donald Trump storm but there is only so much they can withstand. 

Hillary Clinton’s significant advantage over Trump is impacting Senate races in at least a couple of ways. The…

It’s Time for Newspapers to Stop Endorsing Candidates

Nathan L. Gonzales October 19, 2016 · 2:41 PM EDT

Just when editorial boards are coming off the sidelines to endorse in the presidential race, it’s time to do just the opposite.

After 34 years of not endorsing a presidential candidate, USA Today published “Trump is ‘unfit for the presidency’” on Sept. 30. It’s the first time the paper…

Will Trump Tip Senate to Democrats?

Nathan L. Gonzales October 14, 2016 · 3:30 PM EDT

Senate Republicans thought they had successfully navigated the Donald Trump storm. There was no guarantee they would maintain a majority in the Senate, but the party was in surprisingly strong shape considering their nominee’s historic unfavorable ratings and a map that put the GOP on the defensive in difficult states…

Six States Will Decide Senate Majority

Nathan L. Gonzales September 30, 2016 · 3:30 PM EDT

It’s been a roller coaster of emotion for Senate Republicans over the last two months. As Hillary Clinton expanded her lead over Donald Trump coming out of the conventions, it looked like Senate control next year was leaning firmly toward the Democrats. 

But as Trump narrowed the gap with Clinton…

Fight for the Senate Intensifies

Nathan L. Gonzales September 16, 2016 · 4:00 PM EDT

Hillary Clinton’s shrinking lead in the presidential race could help Republicans keep control of the Senate. Even if Donald Trump doesn’t win the race for the White House, losing competitive states by a close margin will improve vulnerable GOP senators’ chances of survival. 

The map continues to be a…

Senate Math Still Favors Democrats

Nathan L. Gonzales September 2, 2016 · 3:00 PM EDT

Donald Trump continues to struggle in the presidential race and the Republicans’ hold on the Senate is a precarious position. 

Many of the most vulnerable Republican senators are doing everything in their power to stave off a re-election loss, but Trump appears to be digging holes in some states…

Pennsylvania Senate: Keystone of a Majority

Alex Roarty September 2, 2016 · 2:58 PM EDT

Republican Pat Toomey always knew that his re-election run this year would be difficult in a perennial battleground state like Pennsylvania. But he could hardly have imagined the challenge of running alongside a presidential nominee like Donald Trump.

The first-term lawmaker won a seat in the Senate in 2010, thanks…

The Second Biggest Surprise of the Election Season

Nathan L. Gonzales August 24, 2016 · 9:12 AM EDT

Donald Trump winning the Republican presidential nomination is the biggest surprise of the election season, but GOP senators’ success in primaries has to be a close second.

Two years after Pat Roberts, Thad Cochran and Mitch McConnell labored through competitive primaries, four years after Richard Lugar lost his primary…

Trump’s Troubles Loosen GOP Grip on Senate Majority

Nathan L. Gonzales August 19, 2016 · 2:59 PM EDT

Donald Trump is slipping further behind Hillary Clinton in the presidential race and is now in danger of taking the Republican Senate majority down with him. 

Up until the conventions, most of the vulnerable Republican senators looked poised to withstand Trump losing the presidential election. But recent polling data…

The Most Important Question to Ask Trump Defectors

Nathan L. Gonzales August 12, 2016 · 1:28 PM EDT

“Quitting the Republican Party” is the easiest way to make the news these days, but the stories about Donald Trump defectors don’t go far enough to understand the potential impact on the November elections.

Conservative columnist George Will revealed in late June that he had changed his voter registration to…