Senate News & Analysis

2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 24, 2015 · 2:30 PM EDT

In the dog days of summer of the off-year, Republicans and Democrats are knee-deep in candidate recruitment, fundraising, and opposition research leading into battle for the Senate in 2016.

With well over a year before Election Day, the Senate playing field is starting to take shape, as the fight for…

2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Alabama - Kansas

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July 24, 2015 · 2:29 PM EDT

ALABAMA – Richard Shelby (R) elected 1986 (50%), 1992 (65%), 1998 (63%), 2004 (68%), 2010 (65%). Shelby continues to stockpile money for a future institute for politics at the University of Alabama when he leaves office. The senator had $18.8 million in his campaign account at the end of June…

2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Kentucky - New Mexico

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July 24, 2015 · 2:28 PM EDT

KENTUCKY – Rand Paul (R) elected 2010 (56%). This race is complicated by Paul’s run for president and Kentucky’s state elections this year. 

State law prohibits Paul from running for president and re-election simultaneously, but, next month, the state party is likely to switch from a May presidential primary to…

2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) New York - Wyoming

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July 24, 2015 · 2:27 PM EDT

NEW YORK – Chuck Schumer (D) elected 1998 (55%), 2004 (71%), 2010 (66%). It took Schumer a few hours to wrap up the leadership race after Harry Reid announced his retirement. Now, Schumer will run for re-election and be the next Democratic leader in the Senate. The only question is…

Heck’s Decision Prompts Rating Change in Two Nevada Races

Nathan L. Gonzales July 6, 2015 · 11:00 AM EDT

Republican Rep. Joe Heck’s decision to run for the Senate is no surprise, but now that he is officially in the race, we are changing our rating in two Nevada races. 

The race for Democratic Sen. Harry Reid’s open seat was already competitive, but Republican chances improve slightly with Heck’s…

North Carolina Senate: Life After Hagan

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 2, 2015 · 2:30 PM EDT

Democrats lost a whopping nine Senate seats in 2014, but few hurt more than North Carolina. At least the party doesn’t have to wait long before trying to avenge that defeat. 

Over the last few years, the Tar Heel State and its GOP-led Legislature has become a symbol of…

Report Shorts (June 17, 2015) Colorado Senate, Georgia Senate, Indiana Senate, Nevada Senate

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June 17, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

Colorado Senate. Rep. Mike Coffman (R) announced his decision to seek re-election, disappointing the NRSC but making the NRCC happy because his 6th District would have been difficult to defend without him.

Senate Republicans are still searching for a candidate. Potential GOP challengers include state Senate President Pro-Tem Ellen Roberts,…

Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field

Nathan L. Gonzales June 12, 2015 · 2:27 PM EDT

Next year’s Florida Senate race is a high-stakes contest that could impact Roll Call Congressional Baseball Games for years to come. It may also decide the Senate majority in the next Congress.

Both parties are at risk of losing one of their youngest and most experienced players, since Democratic…

Illinois Senate: The Most Vulnerable Senator in the Country

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Nathan L. Gonzales May 29, 2015 · 3:00 PM EDT

At least a handful of GOP senators are vulnerable this election cycle, but none more than Mark Kirk of Illinois. 

While Sens. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, Rob Portman of Ohio, and Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire are headed for competitive re-election fights, Kirk looks to be…

Arizona Landscape Shifts in Two Races

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Nathan L. Gonzales May 29, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s challenge to Republican Sen. John McCain impacts our ratings of two races in Arizona.

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Up to this point, McCain was considered a heavy favorite for re-election to a sixth term, in part because the senator has proven to be a tough campaigner. But…