House News & Analysis

Less Hair Could Mean More Votes in Minnesota

Nathan L. Gonzales July 23, 2015 · 9:00 AM EDT

It’s no secret that hair was the source of Samson’s strength. But unlike the Old Testament Nazirite, one potential congressional challenger is hoping less could mean more at the ballot box.

Republican Stewart Mills might have the most talked about hair in politics, second only to Donald Trump. Last cycle,…

Heck’s Decision Prompts Rating Change in Two Nevada Races

Nathan L. Gonzales July 6, 2015 · 11:00 AM EDT

Republican Rep. Joe Heck’s decision to run for the Senate is no surprise, but now that he is officially in the race, we are changing our rating in two Nevada races. 

The race for Democratic Sen. Harry Reid’s open seat was already competitive, but Republican chances improve slightly with Heck’s…

Pennsylvania 6: Suburban Districts Elude Democrats

Nathan L. Gonzales July 2, 2015 · 2:29 PM EDT

It’s hard to see how Democrats get anywhere near a House majority again without gaining ground in suburban and exurban districts. But the party’s difficulty in a trio of districts in Southeast Pennsylvania is a prime example of Democrats’ challenge. 

The Republicans’ grip on the 6th, 7th, and 8th…

Yarmuth Retirement Rumor Offers Window Into Future

Nathan L. Gonzales June 25, 2015 · 10:02 AM EDT

Rumors that Kentucky Rep. John Yarmuth was poised to retire or resign were hot and heavy right up until the moment the Democratic congressman announced his re-election bid on Monday. But the public uncertainty provided a brief glimpse into what the race to replace him might look like when…

Michigan 7: Democrats Target Walberg (Again)

Nathan L. Gonzales June 17, 2015 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats knocked off GOP Rep. Tim Walberg in one historic presidential election cycle and hope they can do it again in 2016. 

Walberg is one of those Republican incumbents that Democrats love to hate. They don’t like how he defeated a moderate Republican in a primary, how Walberg knocked…

Report Shorts (June 17, 2015) Colorado Senate, Georgia Senate, Indiana Senate, Nevada Senate

June 17, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

Colorado Senate. Rep. Mike Coffman (R) announced his decision to seek re-election, disappointing the NRSC but making the NRCC happy because his 6th District would have been difficult to defend without him.

Senate Republicans are still searching for a candidate. Potential GOP challengers include state Senate President Pro-Tem Ellen Roberts,…

Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field

Nathan L. Gonzales June 12, 2015 · 2:27 PM EDT

Next year’s Florida Senate race is a high-stakes contest that could impact Roll Call Congressional Baseball Games for years to come. It may also decide the Senate majority in the next Congress.

Both parties are at risk of losing one of their youngest and most experienced players, since Democratic…

14 Open House Seats, Few Takeover Opportunities

Nathan L. Gonzales June 2, 2015 · 9:00 AM EDT

More than 90 percent of House incumbents routinely get re-elected, so open seats are a hot commodity. Five months into the 114th Congress, 14 House members have announced their departure, but just four of the seats they are leaving behind can be considered competitive.

At this stage in the…

Arizona Landscape Shifts in Two Races

Nathan L. Gonzales May 29, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s challenge to Republican Sen. John McCain impacts our ratings of two races in Arizona.

Up to this point, McCain was considered a heavy favorite for re-election to a sixth term, in part because the senator has proven to be a tough campaigner. But…

Report Shorts (May 29, 2015) Indiana Governor, Indiana Senate, Kentucky Governor, Nevada Senate

May 29, 2015 · 2:58 PM EDT

Indiana Governor. Gov. Mike Pence (R) is expected to officially announce his re-election bid on June 18. Democrats are energized by the public scrutiny the governor faced over the Religious Freedom Restoration Act. Former state Speaker John Gregg (D) is running again after losing to Pence in 2012. A…