President News & Analysis

Imperfect Candidates Get Elected

Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2015 · 2:11 PM EST

Every day there’s a new story exposing a candidate or a politician, and each misstep is portrayed as a disqualifier — a mistake that will lead to the candidate’s demise. It can be easy to forget that imperfect people get elected to office.

A few weeks ago, the Democratic…

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Virginia

Nathan L. Gonzales November 20, 2015 · 2:29 PM EST

Virginia is the newcomer to the list of battleground states that will select the next president of the United States. 

It’s a remarkable turnaround for a commonwealth that went 44 years without voting for a Democratic presidential nominee. Barack Obama’s 53 percent to 46 percent victory in 2008 was the…

Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama and Democrats Playing Defense

Stuart Rothenberg November 20, 2015 · 10:50 AM EST

I say it repeatedly: Events matter. And for President Barack Obama, the terror attacks in Paris present a no-win political situation, at least until other, compelling news changes the subject.

That is not to say the president, the Democratic Party or the likely Democratic 2016 nominee, Hillary Rodham Clinton,…

Don’t Get Too Caught Up in the Trump and Carson ‘Panic’

Stuart Rothenberg November 18, 2015 · 3:02 PM EST

The panic is palpable from the media and too many GOP “insiders.”

The Republican Party is going to nominate Donald Trump or Ben Carson for president, guaranteeing Barry Goldwater-style losses in the 2016 elections and threatening the Republic. Or, as The Washington Post put it on Page 1 of its…

Hillary Clinton and the Two-Term Jinx

Stuart Rothenberg November 12, 2015 · 9:55 AM EST

I hear it all the time: Voters want change after one party has held the White House for eight years, and that’s why only once over the past six decades has a party held the presidency for three consecutive terms. Tough luck, Hillary Rodham Clinton.

The observation has merit,…

Why Trump Would Get Out of the Race

Nathan L. Gonzales November 8, 2015 · 9:07 AM EST

For Donald Trump and his brand, “winning” is of utmost importance. While his relentless talk about American exceptionalism is appealing to GOP primary voters, Trump’s personal success in life and his front-runner status in the Republican contest are other elements of the billionaire businessman’s appeal. Everybody likes a winner,…

Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh

Stuart Rothenberg November 6, 2015 · 9:17 AM EST

Though I took notice of Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner’s endorsement of Sen. Marco Rubio for president, I didn’t immediately think about Gardner as a possible running mate for Rubio — until a CQ Roll Call colleague dropped that pearl of wisdom in my lap.

But there are plenty of…

Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination

Stuart Rothenberg November 4, 2015 · 9:16 AM EST

Carly Fiorina is popular among Republicans, both nationally and in Iowa. And yet, when those same Republicans are asked to name their preferred candidate for president, they generally don’t select her. Why?

Is it simply, as some have suggested, that Republicans don’t want to vote for a woman, or…

Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances

Stuart Rothenberg October 29, 2015 · 9:01 AM EDT

Bobby Jindal and Ted Cruz continue to plug away in Iowa, far back from the front-runners. But both are well aware that if Ben Carson turns out to be little more than Herman Cain, a political outsider who briefly sat atop the 2012 field, each of them could have…

Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush

Stuart Rothenberg October 28, 2015 · 10:10 AM EDT

It’s still more than three months before the Iowa caucuses, but the next four weeks are crucial for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who started with the kinds of political assets that led many to regard him as the front-runner in the GOP race.

More than 10 months after…