Inside Elections

2012 Senate Ratings (October 12, 2012)

October 12, 2012 · 12:56 PM EDT

2012 RPR Electoral Vote Estimate (October 12, 2012) Romney vs. Obama

October 12, 2012 · 12:55 PM EDT

Why’d Mitt Romney Take So Long to Move to the Middle?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 12, 2012 · 8:30 AM EDT

The surprise about Mitt Romney’s recent move to the middle isn’t that it occurred but that it took so long.

It has been standard political fare for presidential hopefuls to play to the party faithful during the fight for the nomination and then move to the middle in the general election to woo…

Can a Race Be Tight and Yet Not Competitive?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 10, 2012 · 10:01 AM EDT

Each cycle, my goal as a handicapper is to identify Congressional races where the result will mean a partisan takeover, not merely where the outcome will be close.

To some, this may seem like an odd distinction. After all, if an election is close — within a few points — doesn’t that also mean…

Race for the White House: Can Romney Mount a Comeback?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 5, 2012 · 1:00 PM EDT

Two respected polls, conducted by NBC News/Wall Street Journal and ABC News/Washington Post, recently showed former Gov. Mitt Romney (R) creeping back into the presidential race, but it was Wednesday’s debate that probably changed the trajectory of the contest.

Over the past few weeks,…

Parties Locked in Fight for the Senate (Senate Overview, October 5, 2012)

October 5, 2012 · 12:59 PM EDT

The Senate is still broadly “in play,” but that doesn’t mean that it is a pure toss-up.

Democrats have the edge because of the retirement of Maine Sen. Olympia Snowe (R) and the implosion of Todd Akin in Missouri, potentially handing Democrats two seats that should be in the GOP column.…

House Majority Remains Out of Democrats’ Grasp (House Overview, October 5, 2012)

October 5, 2012 · 12:58 PM EDT

With a month to go before the election, we are changing our ratings for a handful of House races but see no reason to alter our overall assessment that Republicans are likely to retain their majority in November.

The two parties are looking at some very different polling results in a number of…

2012 RPR Electoral Vote Estimate (October 5, 2012) Romney vs. Obama

October 5, 2012 · 12:57 PM EDT

2012 Senate Ratings (October 5, 2012)

October 5, 2012 · 12:56 PM EDT

2012 House Ratings (October 5, 2012)

October 5, 2012 · 12:55 PM EDT