Archive

Voter Overload and the Presidential Endgame

by Stuart Rothenberg July 27, 2012 · 10:31 AM EDT

It’s not news that voters in presidential swing state media markets are being bombarded with political ads on television.

According to the Campaign Media Analysis Group, $13.6 million in presidential ads has aired so far in the Cleveland media market, $4.6 million in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and…

Two Freshmen to Watch in the Class of 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg July 25, 2012 · 12:32 PM EDT

In a political world increasingly populated by candidates who seem angry at the political opposition and promise to toe their party’s ideological line, two open-seat candidates I met recently cut interesting profiles.

While most members of the class of 2012 still have to prove their mettle in…

In Fight for the House, the Trajectory Is Clear

by Stuart Rothenberg July 23, 2012 · 9:30 AM EDT

House races often don’t start getting attention until after Labor Day. But with the presidential contest sucking the air out of the political environment and defining the electoral landscape, House candidates may find they have an even harder time than usual defining themselves and their…

Wash. 1 Primary Is a Battle for Silver Medal

by Jessica Taylor July 19, 2012 · 5:36 PM EDT

When a bipartisan commission redrew Washington state’s congressional lines late last year, commissioner and former Sen. Slade Gorton (R) boasted that the new 1st District may be the most evenly divided in the country.

While Democrats appear to have a slight edge in the race to succeed former…

How Can Anyone Govern After This Campaign?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 18, 2012 · 9:20 AM EDT

Those of us who have been reporting on and discussing politics for the past few decades have come to expect rough-and-tumble campaigns. As Chicago writer Finley Peter Dunne once observed: “Politics ain’t beanbag.”

But the nature of the 2012 presidential campaign so far raises questions about…

North Carolina: Republicans Prepare for Big November

by Jessica Taylor July 18, 2012 · 12:14 AM EDT

Republicans got their top picks in two North Carolina congressional runoffs Tuesday, furthering the likelihood they will flip several seats in the Tar Heel State this fall.

In the 8th District runoff, former Capitol Hill aide Richard Hudson easily defeated former Iredell County Commissioner…

Conventions: From Meaningful to Meaningless

by Stuart Rothenberg July 16, 2012 · 9:33 AM EDT

Rarely a day goes by without some journalist noting that another Member of Congress is passing up the very forgettable opportunity of attending his or her party’s convention later this summer.

The list of media outlets to report on this “development” is long and getting longer: the New York…

Florida House: Turning up the Heat

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 13, 2012 · 12:57 AM EDT

It’s no surprise that Florida is one of the key states to watch in November, but the Sunshine State is playing a particularly critical role in the fight for the House.

Democrats have focused their effort to win back the majority on three states: Florida, California, and Illinois. In order to…

Ratings Change: Connecticut Senate Gets Less Safe

by Stuart Rothenberg July 13, 2012 · 12:56 AM EDT

Republican Senate nominee Linda McMahon spent $50 million in the GOP primary and general election last cycle to win just over 43 percent of the vote, so it isn’t surprising that we began with some skepticism about the businesswoman’s desire to run again this cycle.

McMahon’s 12-point loss to…

Ratings Change: Maine Senate Moves Toward Democrats, Sort of

by Stuart Rothenberg July 13, 2012 · 12:54 AM EDT

Maine’s primaries are now history, so the three-way race for Senator Olympia Snowe’s open Senate seat has finally come into focus – sort of.

Republicans hope Secretary of State Charlie Summers (R) can win a multi-candidate contest, following the model of how former Waterville mayor Paul LePage…